Layer3.news

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq53704dkn2v2nsehgyzexn9y92sny3j7t7yewycj0lauss6n99zuqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqywv0ufdfpkutc3fsq44pwklse3p83vkntkgs62xjg333j52as2hs8yhlz9

ECONOMIST WARNS FED IS 'EXPOSED' ON ITS INFLATION FORECAST

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/p11UhAF8JmQtm2hABSG46A--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD02NzQ-/https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2025-09/b8196780-94a6-11f0-bbbf-c9fdbd0c0ea8

✍️ Wolfe Research chief economist Stephanie Roth and StoneX senior adviser Jon Hilsenrath discuss the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and its implications for the US economy.

👉 The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points 👉 The labor market is a key factor in determining the Fed's next move 👉 The Fed's inflation forecast is uncertain, with some experts skeptical about the impact of tariffs 👉 The article discusses the potential for upward revisions to August's non-farm payrolls

-- #StephanieRoth #JonHilsenrath #JeromePowell #LarrySummers #economy

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Stephanie Roth Jon Hilsenrath Jerome Powell Larry Summers economy mainstream:perspective

9/21/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq53704dkn2v2nsehgyzexn9y92sny3j7t7yewycj0lauss6n99zuqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpq33ff4er6nqux3nxuc4xwlvgh5vk7kga87kgezjwzpnra57tdpndsf4ve2r

FED'S NEXT MOVE: BLACKROCK'S ROGAL, WOLFE RESEARCH'S ROTH

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/9yzGsFYf6FbIoG9WvGWU5w--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD02NzU-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/bloomberg_markets_video_2/4bae2e04a4cdab6274897daf22ef642d

✍️ Wolfe Research Chief Economist Stephanie Roth and BlackRock Total Return Fund Lead Portfolio Manager David Rogal discuss the case for maintenance cuts in the next Fed move.

👉 The case for maintenance cuts has improved 👉 Wolfe Research Chief Economist Stephanie Roth and BlackRock Total Return Fund Lead Portfolio Manager David Rogal discuss the case for maintenance cuts

-- #StephanieRoth #DavidRogal #SonaliBasak #politics

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Stephanie Roth David Rogal Sonali Basak politics mainstream:perspective

7/25/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqe6z4eqs8a86awpjvnv4ta6zlxnprtyqryxvqpp78vezxxxv0mnpqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqs2pavuycfjmc68q77dnj6ujsykmglhpfynz0p4awsx87mpnrh62s8nsp5s

BLAME IT ON TARIFFS: CEOS ROLL OUT NEW EXCUSE FOR BANKRUPTCIES

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/5OHKiCF8PiVyMDyF7CKT4w--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD04MDA-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/bloomberg_holding_pen_162/dae10f90224f6b4ea64940553c33dba1

✍️ At Home Group Inc. and other companies are citing tariffs as a reason for their bankruptcy, but economists and analysts argue that it's too early to blame tariffs for their financial struggles.

👉 Companies are citing tariffs as a reason for their bankruptcy 👉 Economists and analysts argue that it's too early to blame tariffs for their financial struggles 👉 Recent data shows that the economy is still holding up 👉 Companies are struggling, but the tariffs did not put them into bankruptcy

-- #StephanieRoth #FernandoVivanco #ToddBaker #DonaldTrump #Texas #NewYork #Queens #China #business

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Stephanie Roth Fernando Vivanco Todd Baker Donald Trump Texas New York Queens China

7/18/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq53704dkn2v2nsehgyzexn9y92sny3j7t7yewycj0lauss6n99zuqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqcy2y694uwr8v0zfam93kdk2w4gtmm6the5s0pjhhzq4rxnrnhm4q492yv3

US JOB OPENINGS RISE TO 7.39 MILLION IN APRIL: JOLTS DATA

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/5Zi1iRf9rNyotxX8qB8NXw--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD02NzU-/https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2025-06/ec59edf0-4085-11f0-8b8f-8e05259597bd

✍️ The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) reports 7.39 million job openings in April, beating estimates of 7.1 million.

👉 7.39 million job openings in April, beating estimates 👉 Quits rate decreased to 2% from 2.1% 👉 Layoffs rate ticked up to 1.786 million, but remains low

-- #MadisonMills #StephanieRoth #business

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Madison Mills Stephanie Roth business mainstream:perspective

6/3/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqe6z4eqs8a86awpjvnv4ta6zlxnprtyqryxvqpp78vezxxxv0mnpqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqjg5qgy0ey8a2f7j4c2tw24rlrlxcsn7epkftzf93uf89erzapnes2fz2m7

MARKETS FACE 'NEW REALITY' ON PAYROLLS: ECONOMIST ROTH

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/OWnZmWWYlHm7tA6hCch.OQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD02NzU-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/bloomberg_markets_video_2/53b8549ab05a448ae7fdf94bad709e78

✍️ Changes to immigration policy can lead to slower, steady growth of payrolls and a tighter labor market, according to Stephanie Roth, chief economist at Wolfe Research.

👉 Changes to immigration policy can lead to slower, steady growth of payrolls 👉 A tighter labor market can result from changes to immigration policy 👉 Stephanie Roth, chief economist at Wolfe Research, explains the impact of immigration policy on the labor market and economy

-- #StephanieRoth #politics

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Stephanie Roth politics mainstream:perspective

5/28/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq53704dkn2v2nsehgyzexn9y92sny3j7t7yewycj0lauss6n99zuqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqcaxyr9sy509nf9gk07r8ffagkx8lk5ycpxq656mcy0wkq2jhu7qscsr4ut

FED'S 2% INFLATION GOAL IS 'JUST NOT THE REALITY' THIS YEAR

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/NO6LEhyqYYIlcB.R2wyt2g--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD02NzY-/https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2025-05/c09e4850-2fff-11f0-babd-c4d86d09c75e

✍️ The April Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed a slight decline in inflation, with services still showing signs of weakness and tariff impacts yet to fully hit.

👉 The CPI report showed a 2.3% increase in consumer prices in April compared to the same month last year 👉 Services, such as travel, are still showing signs of weakness 👉 Tariff impacts have not yet fully hit the economy, but are expected to start showing up in prices over the next few months 👉 The Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates as much as expected if the economy remains strong

-- #StephanieRoth #economy

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Stephanie Roth economy mainstream:perspective

5/13/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqe6z4eqs8a86awpjvnv4ta6zlxnprtyqryxvqpp78vezxxxv0mnpqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqnzlq0uj6rz9t3pcukcvgw54mg8p0a7nh0pm39a57v30l52kc64cqqwzpvk

2 FIRM INFLATION PRINTS JUST MADE THE FED'S 2025 RATE CUT PATH A LOT 'MURKIER'

https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2024-11/50cdbb40-a29d-11ef-a72f-f9a35d4811b4

✍️ The Federal Reserve's inflation target of 2% remains elusive as October inflation readings show little progress, leading to uncertainty about future interest rate cuts.

👉 The core CPI and PPI showed prices increased 3.3% and 3.1% respectively in October 👉 The inflation data has led to uncertainty about future interest rate cuts 👉 The market is pricing in a slower pace of easing 👉 The CME FedWatch Tool shows a nearly 80% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in December

-- #OrenKlachkin #StephanieRoth #JeromePowell #KarenKarniol-Tambour #SarahHouse #StephenJuneau #JoshSchafer #mainstream #politics

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Oren Klachkin Stephanie Roth Jerome Powell Karen Karniol-Tambour Sarah House Stephen Juneau Josh Schafer mainstream

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq53704dkn2v2nsehgyzexn9y92sny3j7t7yewycj0lauss6n99zuqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqczqft0v3jcwmhdenm5laq345qppjn6qff3fxjqn49t750mcg7v0se4un26

TWO FIRM INFLATION PRINTS JUST MADE THE FED'S 2025 RATE CUT PATH A LOT 'MURKIER'

https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2024-11/50cdbb40-a29d-11ef-a72f-f9a35d4811b4

✍️ The October inflation readings have shown little progress towards the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target, raising questions about the depth of interest rate cuts in 2025.

👉 October inflation readings show little progress towards the Fed's 2% inflation target 👉 Core CPI and PPI increased 3.3% and 3.1% respectively in October 👉 Economists do not expect the data to change the Fed's outlook come December 👉 The lack of progress on the inflation front may prompt the Fed to adjust its SEP 👉 Markets have shifted to reflect this sentiment, with the CME FedWatch Tool now placing a nearly 80% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December meeting

-- #OrenKlachkin #StephanieRoth #JeromePowell #KarenKarniol-Tambour #SarahHouse #StephenJuneau #JoshSchafer #mainstream #economy

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Oren Klachkin Stephanie Roth Jerome Powell Karen Karniol-Tambour Sarah House Stephen Juneau Josh Schafer mainstream

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpux45d4p4xur8cxzhn5qa70dnwrgl0mu4xmsvvwy2de3hefumppfqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpq00889l8pr48yn08pyfg8634qfxhahhplqqphjs97mysg26x5r80qr0vp2d

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HOW PRESIDENT TRUMP’S H-1B VISA CHANGES COULD IMPACT BIG TECH

https://image.cnbcfm.com/api/v1/image/108202060-1758547851969-gettyimages-2235795980-2236330058.jpeg?v=1759952862&w=1920&h=1080

✍️ President Trump announces plans to impose a $100,000 fee for new H-1B visa applications, potentially changing the program and challenging companies that rely on foreign workers.

-- #DonaldTrump #StephanieRoth #HowardLutnick #ElonMusk #SatyaNadella #SundarPichai #JeffJoseph #HemantTaneja #politics

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Donald Trump Stephanie Roth Howard Lutnick Elon Musk Satya Nadella Sundar Pichai Jeff Joseph Hemant Taneja

10/9/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq53704dkn2v2nsehgyzexn9y92sny3j7t7yewycj0lauss6n99zuqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqywv0ufdfpkutc3fsq44pwklse3p83vkntkgs62xjg333j52as2hs8yhlz9

ECONOMIST WARNS FED IS 'EXPOSED' ON ITS INFLATION FORECAST

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/p11UhAF8JmQtm2hABSG46A--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD02NzQ-/https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2025-09/b8196780-94a6-11f0-bbbf-c9fdbd0c0ea8

✍️ Wolfe Research chief economist Stephanie Roth and StoneX senior adviser Jon Hilsenrath discuss the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and its implications for the US economy.

-- #StephanieRoth #JonHilsenrath #JeromePowell #LarrySummers #economy

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Stephanie Roth Jon Hilsenrath Jerome Powell Larry Summers economy mainstream:perspective

9/21/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq53704dkn2v2nsehgyzexn9y92sny3j7t7yewycj0lauss6n99zuqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpq33ff4er6nqux3nxuc4xwlvgh5vk7kga87kgezjwzpnra57tdpndsf4ve2r

FED'S NEXT MOVE: BLACKROCK'S ROGAL, WOLFE RESEARCH'S ROTH

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/9yzGsFYf6FbIoG9WvGWU5w--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD02NzU-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/bloomberg_markets_video_2/4bae2e04a4cdab6274897daf22ef642d

✍️ Wolfe Research Chief Economist Stephanie Roth and BlackRock Total Return Fund Lead Portfolio Manager David Rogal discuss the case for maintenance cuts in the next Fed move.

-- #StephanieRoth #DavidRogal #SonaliBasak #politics

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Stephanie Roth David Rogal Sonali Basak politics mainstream:perspective

7/25/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqe6z4eqs8a86awpjvnv4ta6zlxnprtyqryxvqpp78vezxxxv0mnpqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqs2pavuycfjmc68q77dnj6ujsykmglhpfynz0p4awsx87mpnrh62s8nsp5s

BLAME IT ON TARIFFS: CEOS ROLL OUT NEW EXCUSE FOR BANKRUPTCIES

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/5OHKiCF8PiVyMDyF7CKT4w--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD04MDA-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/bloomberg_holding_pen_162/dae10f90224f6b4ea64940553c33dba1

✍️ At Home Group Inc. and other companies are citing tariffs as a reason for their bankruptcy, but economists and analysts argue that it's too early to blame tariffs for their financial struggles.

-- #StephanieRoth #FernandoVivanco #ToddBaker #DonaldTrump #Texas #NewYork #Queens #China #business

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Stephanie Roth Fernando Vivanco Todd Baker Donald Trump Texas New York Queens China

7/18/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq53704dkn2v2nsehgyzexn9y92sny3j7t7yewycj0lauss6n99zuqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqcy2y694uwr8v0zfam93kdk2w4gtmm6the5s0pjhhzq4rxnrnhm4q492yv3

US JOB OPENINGS RISE TO 7.39 MILLION IN APRIL: JOLTS DATA

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/5Zi1iRf9rNyotxX8qB8NXw--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD02NzU-/https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2025-06/ec59edf0-4085-11f0-8b8f-8e05259597bd

✍️ The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) reports 7.39 million job openings in April, beating estimates of 7.1 million.

👉 7.39 million job openings in April, beating estimates 👉 Quits rate decreased to 2% from 2.1% 👉 Layoffs rate ticked up to 1.786 million, but remains low

-- #MadisonMills #StephanieRoth #business

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Madison Mills Stephanie Roth business mainstream:perspective

6/3/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqe6z4eqs8a86awpjvnv4ta6zlxnprtyqryxvqpp78vezxxxv0mnpqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqjg5qgy0ey8a2f7j4c2tw24rlrlxcsn7epkftzf93uf89erzapnes2fz2m7

MARKETS FACE 'NEW REALITY' ON PAYROLLS: ECONOMIST ROTH

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/OWnZmWWYlHm7tA6hCch.OQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD02NzU-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/bloomberg_markets_video_2/53b8549ab05a448ae7fdf94bad709e78

✍️ Changes to immigration policy can lead to slower, steady growth of payrolls and a tighter labor market, according to Stephanie Roth, chief economist at Wolfe Research.

-- #StephanieRoth #politics

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Stephanie Roth politics mainstream:perspective

5/28/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq53704dkn2v2nsehgyzexn9y92sny3j7t7yewycj0lauss6n99zuqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqcaxyr9sy509nf9gk07r8ffagkx8lk5ycpxq656mcy0wkq2jhu7qscsr4ut

FED'S 2% INFLATION GOAL IS 'JUST NOT THE REALITY' THIS YEAR

https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/NO6LEhyqYYIlcB.R2wyt2g--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyMDA7aD02NzY-/https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2025-05/c09e4850-2fff-11f0-babd-c4d86d09c75e

✍️ The April Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed a slight decline in inflation, with services still showing signs of weakness and tariff impacts yet to fully hit.

-- #StephanieRoth #economy

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Stephanie Roth economy mainstream:perspective

5/13/2025

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqe6z4eqs8a86awpjvnv4ta6zlxnprtyqryxvqpp78vezxxxv0mnpqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqnzlq0uj6rz9t3pcukcvgw54mg8p0a7nh0pm39a57v30l52kc64cqqwzpvk

2 FIRM INFLATION PRINTS JUST MADE THE FED'S 2025 RATE CUT PATH A LOT 'MURKIER'

https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2024-11/50cdbb40-a29d-11ef-a72f-f9a35d4811b4

✍️ The Federal Reserve's inflation target of 2% remains elusive as October inflation readings show little progress, leading to uncertainty about future interest rate cuts.

-- #OrenKlachkin #StephanieRoth #JeromePowell #KarenKarniol-Tambour #SarahHouse #StephenJuneau #JoshSchafer #mainstream #politics

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Oren Klachkin Stephanie Roth Jerome Powell Karen Karniol-Tambour Sarah House Stephen Juneau Josh Schafer mainstream

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq53704dkn2v2nsehgyzexn9y92sny3j7t7yewycj0lauss6n99zuqyd8wumn8ghj7ctjw35kxmr9wvhxcctev4erxtnwv4mhxqpqczqft0v3jcwmhdenm5laq345qppjn6qff3fxjqn49t750mcg7v0se4un26

TWO FIRM INFLATION PRINTS JUST MADE THE FED'S 2025 RATE CUT PATH A LOT 'MURKIER'

https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2024-11/50cdbb40-a29d-11ef-a72f-f9a35d4811b4

✍️ The October inflation readings have shown little progress towards the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target, raising questions about the depth of interest rate cuts in 2025.

-- #OrenKlachkin #StephanieRoth #JeromePowell #KarenKarniol-Tambour #SarahHouse #StephenJuneau #JoshSchafer #mainstream #economy

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Oren Klachkin Stephanie Roth Jerome Powell Karen Karniol-Tambour Sarah House Stephen Juneau Josh Schafer mainstream