SELL TREASURY BONDS OR HOPE FOR A REBOUND? HERE’S WHAT TO DO NOW.
https://media.zenfs.com/en/marketwatch_hosted_869/1b589d56ae3512b8546d198f64b6ca67
✍️ Some investment professionals advise waiting until the end of the year to sell U.S. Treasury bond holdings, citing year-end seasonal trends, but experts warn against relying on this strategy.
👉 Year-end Treasury bond seasonality is a relatively recent phenomenon, dating back to 2002. 👉 The statistical strength of this seasonality is minimal, explaining less than 1% of the difference between December and other months. 👉 Other factors, such as interest rates and market forces, have a much greater impact on Treasury returns. 👉 Experts warn against relying on year-end Treasury bond seasonality as a strategy for selling U.S. Treasury bond holdings.
-- #LisaKramer #MarkHulbert #finance
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