The US National debt is permanent. You know it, the #minniapolisFED knows it with their recent #bitcoin paper, and even AI knows it 👇🏻
Time to wash your hands of the whole #fiat mess and #optout and opt-in to #bitcoin
%%👇🏻AI Response to a query about paying off the US National debt👇🏻%%
I'll modify the analysis to work within current tax rates and revenue structures, which means a longer paydown period and different allocation scenarios.
Key Findings:
- With Current Deficit Growth (4%):
- The debt CANNOT be paid off under current tax rates and revenue structures
- This is because the 4% deficit growth rate exceeds the combination of:
- Current tax revenue capacity
- Productivity growth (1.1%)
- Population growth (0.5%)
- The debt continues to grow faster than our capacity to pay it down
- If Deficit Spending Stopped Completely:
- Minimum paydown period: ~215 years
- Current workforce contribution: ~116 hours per worker per year
- Breakdown of annual payment (~$920 billion):
- Initially:
80% goes to interest ($736 billion) - Initially:
20% goes to principal ($184 billion)
- Initially:
- This ratio improves over time as principal is paid down
- Critical Constraints:
- Current federal tax revenue ≈ $4.6 trillion
- Available for debt service (20%) ≈ $920 billion
- Current interest payments ≈ $736 billion
- Leaving only ≈ $184 billion for principal reduction
Key Implications:
- Under current tax rates, the debt can only be paid off if:
- Deficit spending stops completely
- Current debt service allocation is maintained for over 200 years
- No major economic disruptions occur
- With continued deficit spending, the debt becomes mathematically impossible to pay off under current tax rates
- The high inflation rate (7.3%) helps reduce the real burden, but not enough to overcome the deficit growth rate
10/27/2024, 1 engagement