James Lavish

Thus far, Vanguard has 'protected' its clients from 160% gains since the Bitcoin spot ETFs were announced last year.

Good morning.

As @jackmallers just said, “The future isn’t something we wait for, it’s something we build. Choose ethical money. Choose freedom.”

And have a great day.

Good evening.

We are going to have an election. One of the candidates will take office. The government will continue to run massive deficits. The money supply will continue to expand. And #Bitcoin will go higher.

Have a great night.

gm nostrs let your friday be as peaceful as this

Good morning.

US debt now stands at $35.3 trillion. If we were to return to 0% interest and make payments of $1 million per hour, it would take approximately 4,023 years, or until the year 6,047, to bring the debt back down to zero.

Have a great day.

good evening nostrs Montana river view

good evening nostrs, view from the montana lake today

Good evening.

There are two ways this economy can go, and both of them end in massive money printing.

Have a great weekend.

It’s amazing how so many people are currently selling Bitcoin, and I’m pretty sure I do not know a single one of them.

The government is currently the primary driver of job ‘growth’. This means the need for ongoing and expanded federal deficits, and federal deficits are inherently and long-term inflationary. This is how you manufacture a ‘soft landing’.

Good evening.

In case you were confused by the title, The Inflation Reduction Act did not, in fact, reduce inflation.

Have a great night.

You all are so far ahead of the Twitter curve. I’m explaining to someone about fractional banking over there. Normies are so sadly lost in this maze of financial repression.

Hello.

The US government now pays over $3 billion of interest on its debt per day.

Have a great Thursday.

For everyone who is getting fatigued with Bitcoin’s recent price action:

Over the last decade, the average return in #Bitcoin for the top 10 days each year was 184%, and the average return (loss) for all of the remaining days each year was −10%.

Patience eventually pays off, big time.

Welp. Nikkei 225 down 3.7% and the usd/yen headed lower. Looks like we’re about to see just how much of that Yen Carry Trade is still out there.

The market is reacting negatively this morning to extremely poor ISM manufacturing data.

Here’s the TLDR: Demand fell, inventories rose (due to unsold stock), and prices rose (due to labor and shipping costs). In essence, this is stagflation (higher prices in a stagnant or slowing economy).

The Fed’s worst nightmare.

gm nostrs, enjoy your day of rest

gm nostrs, enjoy some saturday peace ✌️

I can’t sing, but I can math.

What are your two barbell skills?

I don’t trust that if KamaWalz wins, they won’t somehow find a way to ‘suspend’ access to Twitter/X in the US.

Remain decentralized, my friends.

gm nostrs, let’s get at it.

Nothing scientific and ignoring bot behavior, my experience has been that there’s currently far more thoughtfulness and intelligence on Nostr than on Twitter. At least for me, thus far. Of course, your own mileage may vary.

Anyway, keep on Nostrs ✌️

Let me be clear. If Kamala Harris somehow forces a 25% unrealized capital gains tax, the flight of capital out and subsequent collapse of the US markets would be absolutely breathtaking. And the ultimate result would be far lower tax revenues than we have right now.

There is something deeply wrong with a system that forces you to constantly put your hard earned money at risk in order to outpace the speed at which it is in turn silently stolen from you through relentless inflation.

Good morning.

Deficit spending will not end, federal debt will forever grow, and currency debasement will always follow. This is the life of a fiat currency.

Have a great day.

I don’t do a lot of TA, as my investments tend to be long term, but I find the past couple of days interesting, as it appears there is a concerted seller who has been moving their limit lower by the hour for 2 days now (bent arrow) , starting Sunday. Note the volume (dotted circle) pickup and the support level (dotted line) of the reversal here. FWIW, let’s see if the main seller is done.

One to bookmark:

Late night question, which app/interface are you all using for Nostr? I’m on Primal and Damus.

Anyone: Why Bitcoin?

Me: Start here.

Why is 2% the right amount of inflation?

It’s the amount they can get away with in order to debase the underlying currency, much like a hidden tax, without upsetting people to the point of rebellion.

(from today’s Informationist Newsletter)

Resist global censorship. Remain decentralized with #Nostr and #Bitcoin.

Good evening Nostrs.

Let’s be honest. A 25% tax on unrealized capital gains is nothing more than a cheap political talking point that is so monumentally stupid that it will never happen.

Have a great night.

Bottom line. It’s not really about instituting ‘price controls’, it’s about shifting blame for relentless inflation to ‘big, bad, evil corporations’ and away from the incumbents.

Is it me or is Elizabeth Warren somehow becoming even more detached from economic reality?

Why is the market seemingly suddenly so obsessed with unemployment?

Look at this chart to see how, once unemployment begins to tick higher, the momentum that carries the economy into recession is virtually impossible to stop.

Imagine having defected from North Korea only to now be living in the UK.

Good morning Nostrs, it appears this may be the only place to speak openly in the future for many of us. For some already.

Stay vigilant. Stay focused.

Nostr may be the most important app on your phone in the coming years.