Circa Millions

I blew it last week, going 2-3. I shouldn’t have taken the Jets, I knew it was a mistake. I don’t care how right the side looked either, the Jets are cursed. I liked the Rams and Panthers, but didn’t pull the trigger. Too much second guessing and overthinking. Either you have a model and stick to its outputs, or you go on feel, and you trust yourself 100 percent. Don’t question, just act. If you make an error, you can reassess next week, incorporate it into your process.

Dolphins +2.5 at Texans — I’m sure this is the game the Texans turn it around, but as someone whose otherwise solid Primetime team was derailed by CJ Stroud and the bankrupt passing game, I took the Dolphins and the points.

Chiefs -4 at Browns — I know the Chiefs are life and death with everyone, but this seems too small. Jameis Winston will turn it over a few times against this defense, and the Chiefs will move up and down the field.

Steelers +5 at Eagles — The Eagles are good against bad teams, but the Steelers are a rock defensively, and I think they’ll hang.

Lions -2.5 vs Bills — I had this line at four. The Lions are the better team, even with the banged-up defense.

Packers -2.5 at Seahawks — The Seahawks have been good of late, but the Packers went toe to toe with the Lions and had a full 10 days off. I think they win and cover.